Wednesday, August 26, 2015

4x better hiring - a how-to guide



Do you make great hires?  If you work in recruitment, an honest answer would have to be “sometimes”.  46% of new employees don’t last even a year and a half in the job, and each hiring failure costs the business anything from 30% to several multiples of salary

These numbers are crazy, but what is really nuts is that we know how to get hiring right, and by right I mean getting high performers in the right jobs reliably, consistently and cost-effectively.  Here’s how, in three easy steps…

1.     Use proven performance-predictors

Hiring is making a prediction.  Until astro-mathematicians show us how to jump between parallel universes, there is no way we can hire every job applicant, set them to work for a year, see who turns out best and keep that person as a permanent employee.  

In the real world, we have to predict performance at the hiring stage.  Too often, we decide based on our gut feeling or tools such as résumés which have been shown to be only weakly predictive of success in the job.  But in fact we know a ton about the factors that predict how someone is going to turn out in a job, and that knowledge is highly, highly reliable.

Our knowledge about performance predictors is based on almost a hundred years of research – and on meta-analysis of that research by super-smart people who want to understand how different studies fit together so they can identify the most reliable approaches – the ones that work best in getting the right people in the right jobs.  This meta-analysis has looked not just at which factors are the strongest individual predictors of success in work, but at which combinations of factors work best together. 

Say I discover that having brown eyes and having curly hair both predict success at work.  Should I look at just candidates’ eye color or just at their hair texture, or will I hire more high performers if I measure both?  If there is not a significant difference in the results I get from considering both factors compared to just one, there is no point forcing me and my job candidates through two examinations and I should just stick with whichever of the eyes or hair test leads me to the best-performing workers.  Meta-analysis of research into eyes and hair predicting performance can show me which approach is likely to get the best results.

Of course, that’s just an example.  Neither eyes nor hair have any actual bearing on performance at work (though they do, sadly, have an impact on how yourperformance may be perceived)  Here’s what does make a difference:

General Mental Ability – how you process information, make connections and solve problems.  This is the single strongest predictor of success at work.  The more complicated the job, the more General Mental Ability is a reliable predictive measure – it has been found to be about twice as reliable for professional jobs compared to clerks, for example. 

Personality or Competencies – the mix of behaviors, ways of thinking, knowledge, skills and personality traits that characterize how you go about your work.  This is another proven strong predictor, especially in jobs where success comes from interacting with others, dealing with stress and making and implementing decisions (er, which jobs does that not include?).   It is also one of the more variable predictors.  Every job draws in different ways on different combinations of competencies.  Luckily researchers have mapped the drivers of performance in just about every type of job, so we can draw on that research to match people accurately with the right careers.

Work Fit – how you get motivated and engaged at work.  The third gold-standard predictor of performance.  While the other two factors focus on what you can do, work fit measures what you are willing to do, what you want to do.  It includes things like your interest in the activities you’ll encounter in a job, and your engagement with the culture of the organization or work group.

Each of these three factors is a proven predictor of work performance, but the real benefits come when they are used together.  Hire on the basis of General Mental Ability alone and you get a strong correlation coefficient with performance, but add in measures of Competencies/Personality and Work Fit and the effect size leaps to one of the strongest correlations ever seen in any psychological research. 

That’s what we mean when we say we know what predicts work performance.  Next, how to make it work in practice:


2.     Be smart in measuring predictors

One of my son’s more irritating elementary school math problems concerned a girl called Lucy who wanted to buy a rug for her bedroom.  Lucy realized she had to know the dimensions of her room in order to buy the right size rug, but instead of doing what any normal person would do and stretching a tape measure wall-to-wall, Lucy worked out that her room was twice as long as her desk and three times as wide, then measured her desk.

At least Lucy measured the desk.  Too often in hiring, people talk about the right things – competency-based assessment, say – then implement them only in vague, inconsistent, over-complicated and unproven ways, kind of like Lucy wandering into the store and asking for a rug about twice as long as a desk. 

There’s no reason to be as dopey as a third-grade math problem when it comes to something as important to the business as hiring.  Here’s how to measure the three top predictors accurately, consistently and cost-effectively:

Use assessments.  Many of us still have nightmares about taking the SAT  but employment assessments are a whole different story.   The best ones are far more accurate as predictors of future performance (the SAT has an average validity of 0.34 compared to 0.71 for the best-in-class employment assessments – i.e. it’s about half as strong a predictor of performance).  Also, employment tests are much faster.  The SAT takes 3 ¾ hours, comprehensive employment testing can be completed well inside an hour.  Employment assessments can be done online, the results given instantly and at increasingly cost-effective prices. 

Focus on what matters for this job.  A star in one job can be a disaster in another job, even in a similar job in another company.   This is because different jobs have different success drivers – strong competence in Following Instructions, say, could be vital for a high-security job but irrelevant when it comes to a creative role.  Differences in work group can raise or lower an individual’s motivation, depending on the closeness of match between what engages that person and the reality of the company’s work culture.  

When you look at predictive data, make sure it’s predictive data for your particular job.  Either use recruitment software that not just assesses your candidates but matches their profiles against the specific combinations of predictors that drive success in each job (full disclosure: this is what we do at Matchpoint Careers) or make sure that everyone involved in the assessment and selection processes knows exactly what matters - and what does not - when it comes to predictive evidence.

Dig deeper at interview Most candidates are going to be prepared for standard interview questions, including behavioral interview questions (“tell me about a time when…”).  To really find out what they can contribute, focus your questions on the strengths or questions about their capability revealed by the assessments.  

You may find, for instance, that someone who did not show a great inherent capacity for strong presentations has really worked on developing that competency and has evidence to prove their progress.  Using behavioral interviewing techniques, but focused very tightly on what drives performance in the job, you can get an extremely accurate picture of how someone is going to perform at work.


3.     Stop doing the dumb stuff

Don’t share your favorite management truism.  Don’t ask if someone is a team player, or what their coworkers say about them.  Don’t automatically go for the candidate who has Google on his or her résumé or who has gamed all the keywords. 

The more you use unreliable, unproven methods, the less accurate your selection of future employees will be.  Only include methods, such as those above, which have been proven to predict performance accurately.  If you don’t know the predictive value of a tool or method, ask the vendor.  If the vendor doesn’t know, fobs you off with a single research study or dodges the question, go elsewhere.


Why you should act now

Getting the right people in the right jobs is the fastest and best way to transform your business results.  Companies who have used assessments have cut hiring costs by 75%, cut turnover by 50%, and more than doubled profitability per employee.


We may still not have figured out how to cure the common cold, but we do know how to get the right people in the right jobs accurately, easily and cost-effectively.   

If you’re currently following all the steps above in your hiring, congratulations.  If not, what is stopping you from starting now?